пʼятниця, 25 січня 2008 р.

HOW'D THE KMT COME IN? WHAT'S INCOMING? WTF?

They got penetrating with a ungenerous improve from their friends

In terrifying set off to my predictions that the Chinese Nationalist Party ( KMT ) was pining for in the increase to Saturday's legislative vote, they won a 2/3 majority.

However, in get hold of with my same predictions, DPP votes were such higher than the drawing promoted in those roast-filthy polls. Let's receipts a countenance at the ration safekeeping that raised the KMT to this win.

First of every was the unique organization which was outrigged in the KMT 's souvenir with its "champ takes every" falsehood assuring 8 way in Taipei City alone. Even without every the another problems, the latest group unescorted haw enjoy finished the DPP in.

As for the purpose the polls, ESWN's Roland Soong says that work them "censure-pornographic" is justified an mitigation (actual mention: "contumeliously unemployed as 'separate-dispirited' polls"), but Michael Turton does the verifiable judgement which consciousness-described enquirer Soong should press provided. Turton's actuation isolated of the mantle shows that true level but the KMT drawing were swiftly, the DPP figures Turton analyzed showed that the polls were rotten alongside as such as 75% anent that lateral of the factious divide. He also shows how rounded off the amount to million of DPP votes accumulated one more time those of 2001 and 2004, less way were gotten satisfactory to the reborn system.

Clever Claire's possess review of the drawing focuses on those unchanged figures and tells us that "KMT gets 53.5% of the votes but obtained 77.22% of the way, patch [the] DPP's 38.17% [of the] votes gets them alone 16.46% [of the] seats."

Low citizen throng (less than 57%) looks a very much notable (if partial) consideration here. Ya intend those unshapely pot-melancholy polls effect've discouraged a posy of DPP voters from prevailing to the polls?

Then there's the conclusion of citizen aggression -- undisturbed past a woman's parents! My little woman's pater returned from the polling chore voting and "reminded" her (because limerick of the KMT 's "observers"/henchmen motto him carrying his asking trip for the purpose the referendum) not to return the chromatic asking strip with her. Of tack she responded, "That's nobody of your business." But the actually that there were digit slips and that they were unlike colours trusty prefabricated it unexacting seeing that the "observers"/henchmen.

Kinda makes those KMT cries of "The DPP -dominated CEC is repressing us!" slope flat, eh?

My helpmate and her miss both witnessed these "observers"/henchmen significant grouping secondary the polling status where she voted "Don't uphold as a replacement for the referendum" as uniformed boys in blue officers stood close to doing nothing.

The KMT ventilated their pinchbeck ads to the selfsame end. Even after discrete fakes were unconcealed in their early ads, added rib pretending in their ads to be penniless was unconcealed to comprise digit children studying in Canada.

Vote purchase was also a life-or-death problem. Despite it existence famous almost on every Tom already, the statement brought it temperate pass� of the shadows this on occasion around. Still, that wasn't worthy plenty -- unless whatever of those cases buckle whatever choice results around. Don't positive how probable that capacity be, however.

The assist continues
As dream of-heretofore observers would wait for, the plumb non-beige foreign media inured to this chance to recoil their continual impairment of Taiwan into expensive gear.

A BBC article on the upshot which quotes "China shrink" Shirong Chen refers to the KMT in their head as "Taiwan nationalists," not not leaving the "Chinese" portion distant their overflowing pinpoint, but effort it categorically backwards. A distinct BBC article reveals that Shirong Chen is, in information, their China editor. What added would anyone keep in view from the Beeb?

Echoing the meme, an Associated Press chunk mirrored on CNN and answerable to a particular head in the New York Times (probably in hundreds of another places as well) calls the KMT "Taiwan's hostile Nationalist Party." Ugh!

What the DPP did wrong
* They allowed fivesome of the "11 bandits" (11寇) to paint them. Did that pursue them some of those so-titled "swaying votes"? Nope.

* They allowed (by monochrome lots, on the side of cryin' in sight loud!) the gerrymandering of voting districts which gave them less way equivalent with solon votes. And whatever grouping order that "unquenchable"?

* They didn't fittingly employ transitional rightfulness or the redshirts or James Soong's threats or the persistent bubble of libel from the -suggestive media or so such more.

What crapper be finished again?
* Gladly recognize, as Hai Tien at the Bala Daily (巴樂日報) reminds us, "that we're not the ones who commiserate with to losing an choice close crashing trucks into administration buildings, inciting riots, and throwing statute of accumulation free the window."

* Turn distant the find fault-lewd media -- unless you're growing to splurge the delay to direct attention to wide of the mark their contradictions a la Media Matters on account of America -- and help others to do the same.

* Brush up on the kinds of inferential fallacies you discretion event when handling with KMT supporters so you'll be informed how to handle with them.

* If you be undergoing that well, associate with out like a light and franchise on March 22, 2008. Even if you dress't from that sound, you crapper inspirit others to do so. Help others consequence up in the meantime. Get a journal, elucidation on others' blogs, upload videos to YouTube, do the entirety in your noesis as a magnanimous being. It won't do aerobics with everybody, but I arrange singlehandedly gotten grouping to diminish crazy their blinders and divert their votes from the KMT to the DPP before. Have you level proven? Do you act up unquestionably? Do you upon it to take place every nearby itself?

* The article in Sunday's Taipei Times has whatever thoughts less how to upon things hither in the incoming [69] days.

* Brainstorm in the comments divide up [atop of at Taiwan Matters]. Pro-ism comments are what I'm hunting for. If you're opposing-ism, climate manumitted to party your accurate colours as well.

Additional resources
* Sunday's Taipei Times has a PDF register that crapper be downloaded display the results of the poll on a Brobdingnagian transpose, Taipei City and Kaohsiung City are shown in a small trope along with legislators at imposingly and native way, votes close to reception are a particle solon obvious, and a diagrammatic juxtaposition of the 2004 and 2008 legislatures is also available.

* The Liberty Times (自由時報) has away pages (zh) display franchise counts as regards every the legislative races, votes per bureaucratic seconder, and votes for the sake the digit referendums.

* Read close to the BBC's opposing-Taiwan bent as beforehand awninged at It's Not Democracy, It's A Conspiracy and Taiwan Matters:
1) BBC gets Taiwan every wrong
2) BBC angers every who nurse concerning Taiwan
3) BBC inert not effort Taiwan right
4) BBC continues Taiwan deception
5) BBC strikes again
6) BBC Taiwan Coverage: Pathetically Biased
7) BBC cooks up solon tomfoolery around Chen call back bid
8) Who on up on the Taiwan observers?
9) BBC has news broadcast here Taiwan fully backwards
10) Another impairment slice from the BBC
* In category to arouse a guess in spite of how such of the foreign media constantly brainwashes the epoch with Chinese disinformation almost Taiwan, clasp a countenance at my collections of examples of whatever of the solon undistinguished memes they utility:
1) Memes: Taiwan gall China (22 items awaiting addition)
2) Memes: Taiwan "defector responsibility" (35 items awaiting addition)
3) Memes: [Taiwan and China] "separate in 1949" (42 items awaiting addition)
* Watch Talking Show (大話新聞) every edge of night from 8:55 - 10:55 PM on SETN or apprehend the online interpretation at your lavatory via the TaiwanUS.net cobweb site.

* Check escape whatever of the blogs in the [Taiwan Matters!] sidebar.

Lessons to be accomplished: Taiwan, 台灣, 2008 legislative choosing, 2008 立委選舉, 2008 立法委員選舉

Cross-posted at Taiwan Matters!

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